Crude rally: OPEC will have to do more to keep prices up
Mar 19:
Brent crude prices rallied earlier in 2018, supported by a host of temporary factors., it seems 8These include supply disruptions in North Sea and Venezuela and colder-than-usual winter in North America. 8However, once the impact of these comes through fully, oil market fundamentals are expected to look similar to last year: 8OPEC supply discipline being off set somewhat by stronger US production. 8US supply remains the most significant factor supporting the supply-demand imbalance. Strong growth in US production to a new record suggests US producers are reacting swiftly to higher prices. Although US inventories have reduced sharply to last 5-year average levels, there is believe these will begin to recover soon given these production levels. 8For a quicker re-balancing of markets however, OPEC would have to agree to a further extension of output cuts. Given the history of disagreements and non-compliance by OPEC members, such an extension cannot be taken for granted. Click on Reports for more